
Johannes Bracher has been accepted into the Emmy Noether program of the German Research Foundation. Starting in 2023, he will establish a junior research group at KIT, which will work at the intersection of statistics and epidemiology. A particular focus will be on the development of statistical methods and tools for real-time analysis of infectious disease surveillance data.

The first Gaul Lecture by Caroline Uhler (MIT) will take place online as part of Science Week on Oct. 6 at 17h. The talk, titled Causality and Autoencoders in the Light of Drug Repurposing for COVID-19, is aimed at a broad interested audience. Zoom link to the event webinar: https://kit-lecture.zoom.us/j/66888991440?pwd=Ym96MEtjVHlOalBwNlJNbWV6ZGFPUT09
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Since May 2020 we have built up the German and Polish Covid-19 ForecastHub for transparent probabilistic real-time forecasts in the current pandemic. Many (inter)national research groups and the signaleteam of the RKI have already joint and actively supported the effort. See the pre-registered study for the systematic evaluation and statistical ensembles and the project website. Here is the preprint for the second wave.
Project Webpage

Christian Conrad and Melanie Schienle (2020) Testing for an Omitted Long-Term Component in Multiplicative GARCH Models, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Vol.38, No.2, 229-242; [doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2018.1482759 ]
Carsten Bormann and Melanie Schienle (2020) Detecting structural differences in tail dependence of financial time series, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Vol.38, No.2, 380-392;[doi:10.1080/07350015.2018.1506343]
Shi Chen, Wolfgang K Härdle and Brenda L Cabrera (2019) Regularization Approach for Network Modeling of German Power Derivative Market, Energy Economics, in press [doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2019.06.021]
more publications
Prof. Melanie Schienle was invited to give a talk at the research seminar at Otto-von-Guericke-University Magdeburg on January 23rd, 2020.
Prof. Melanie Schienle was invited to give a talk at the research seminar at the Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS) on January 20th, 2020.
Konstantin Görgen presented a research poster in the Causal Machine Learning Workshop at the University of Sankt Gallen on January 20th, 2020.
Konstantin Görgen gave a talk at the Statistical Week 2019 in Trier from September 10th to 13th, 2019.
more talks and conferences

The seventh HKMetrics workshop took place virtually at KIT on July 9th, 2020.
On March 4th, 2020, Prof. Wolfgang Härdle (HU Berlin) gave a talk on "Influencers and Communities in Social Networks".
The sixth HKMetrics workshop took place at the University of Mannheim on September 6th, 2019. Programme
The fifth HKMetrics workshop took place at the University of Heidelberg on October 4th, 2018. Programme
The fourth HKMetrics workshop took place at the KIT on January 25, 2018. Programme
more activities
Konstantin Görgen, Nils Koster and Daniel Wolffram successfully participated in the International Virtual Covid-Data Challenge of the Helmholtz Information & Data Science Academy (HiDA). With their team kitmetrics-and-friends they won one of two challenges dealing with predictions of Covid-19 disease progression and missing data. Congratulations!

We offer exciting theses on current topics. If you are interested, you can find out about the topics (or areas) by clicking on the following link.
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